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Very Chilly Groundhog Day

Groundhog Day will bring well below average temperatures to the Tennessee Valley

HUNTSVILLE, Ala. — Remember Sunday afternoon when it was 60 degrees outside? That warmer air is now a distant memory. Much cooler air moved in overnight and that was more than evident this afternoon. Many saw highs this afternoon that only finished in the mid and upper 30s under a mostly cloudy or even overcast sky. 

We should begin to see some breaks in the clouds tonight, and that combined with a wind out of the north will allow temperatures to bottom out in the mid-20s. Some of the traditionally cold spots could drop as low as the low 20s. An average low for early February is 32 or 33 degrees. 

From that chilly start we'll warm-up, but it's all relative. High temperatures will only climb into the low 40s. We should be in the low 50s. 

Credit: WZDX Weather

A gradual warming trend is in the forecast through Thursday, but Friday and the weekend will usher in some cooler air with some freezing air coming by this time next week. 

Credit: WZDX Weather

Remember tomorrow is February 2nd, which means it's Groundhog Day! Locally it could go either way and is completely dependent on location. Remember if the little rodent does not see his shadow then that means an early Spring. If the rodent does see his shadow then we're in for more winter weather.

Credit: WZDX Weather

Over the last 10 years, the main rodent up in Pennsylvania has an accuracy rate of about 50%. In the last 10 years, Punxsutawney Phil has gotten it right 5 out of 10 times. This was calculated on the basis of whether Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow and then looking at the average high temperature for the months of February and March across the United States. 

For example: In 2020 Punxsutawney Phil did not see his shadow and then February and March were both above-average. He was correct. In 2018 Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow, but again temperatures were above-average so he was wrong.