HUNTSVILLE, Ala. — This afternoon will feature temperatures in the low 60s but under a mostly cloudy sky. The cloud cover is just ahead of our next opportunity for rain.
A cold front will move through the Tennessee Valley Saturday morning/Saturday afternoon. At one point it appeared Saturday was going to come with a fair amount of rain. The latest model runs bring most of the rain through the Tennessee Valley Friday night and Saturday morning. This would be good news as most of Saturday would be dry.
Thursday is December 1st and the official start of Meteorological Winter. The only things of real note in the month of December would be the small increase in daylight and the stat that says o average we get just a small bit of snow across the Tennessee Valley.
For those suddenly excited, our overall chance of a White Christmas is very small. If you want an essential guarantee at a White Christmas, you've got travel to the upper midwest, the far NE, or the Pacific Northwest.
With the end of November comes the end of the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane season. By comparison, it was a quiet season. There were only 14 named storms 8 of those 14 storms became hurricanes. Of those 8, only 2 of those became major hurricanes.
7 Day Forecast
The Tennessee Valley remains extremely dry. For what it's worth, this data is valid before the 4.0"+ of rain we saw across the area on November 29th. Observations were recorded that morning when the rain came in the afternoon. Many folks north of the Tennessee River are now talking about Severe Drought Conditions.
Fall Severe Weather
November brings an increase in Severe Weather to the Tennessee Valley. We can get these large cold fronts that will move through the area. These cold fronts can come with strong and severe lines of showers and thunderstorms.
Between 1950 and 2021 we counted the number of tornadoes that occurred in each month. We can plainly see the Severe Weather season that occurs every Spring, but there is an uptick in the number of tornadoes in the month of November. This is nothing to be scared of, we just need to be mindful and alert of changing weather conditions.
Winter Weather Outlook
NOAA has released its official 2022-2023 Winter Outlook. It takes note that La Nina is still in place which could mean a drier and warmer winter for us in the Tennessee Valley. For those of you that love snow, we were talking this exact same forecast for 2021-2022, and we ended up seeing quite a bit of snow across the area.